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Probabilistic Wildfire Risk Flame Length Probability 5 Alaska (Image Service)

Metadata Updated: November 14, 2025

Note: This image service has been consolidated into a unified service that now includes Alaska (AK), the Continental United States (CONUS), and Hawaii (HI). For access to the updated and combined image service, please visit the new item page: https://usfs.maps.arcgis.com/home/item.html?id=86dd1fbafffb4cac9274154c2fe94e69.National data on burn probability (BP) and conditional flame-length probability (FLP) were generated for the conterminous United States (CONUS), Alaska, and Hawaii using a geospatial Fire Simulation (FSim) system developed by the USDA Forest Service Missoula Fire Sciences Laboratory. The FSim system includes modules for weather generation, wildfire occurrence, fire growth, and fire suppression. FSim is designed to simulate the occurrence and growth of wildfires under tens of thousands of hypothetical contemporary fire seasons in order to estimate the probability of a given area (i.e., pixel) burning under current landscape conditions and fire management practices. The data presented here represent modeled BP and FLPs for the United States (US) at a 270-meter grid spatial resolution. Flame-length probability is estimated for six standard Fire Intensity Levels. The six FLPs correspond to flame-length classes as follows: FLP1 = < 2 feet (ft); FLP2 = 2 < 4 ft.; FLP3 = 4 < 6 ft.; FLP4 = 6 < 8 ft.; FLP5 = 8 < 12 ft.; FLP6 = 12+ ft. Because they indicate conditional probabilities (i.e., representing the likelihood of burning at a certain intensity level, given that a fire occurs), the FLP data must be used in conjunction with the BP data for risk assessment.

Access & Use Information

Public: This dataset is intended for public access and use. License: Creative Commons Attribution

Downloads & Resources

Dates

Metadata Created Date December 5, 2024
Metadata Updated Date November 14, 2025

Metadata Source

Harvested from USDA JSON

Additional Metadata

Resource Type Dataset
Metadata Created Date December 5, 2024
Metadata Updated Date November 14, 2025
Publisher U.S. Forest Service
Maintainer
Identifier https://www.arcgis.com/home/item.html?id=e98145b026394125b52a107b0bbb4583
Data First Published 2024-11-22
Data Last Modified 2025-10-06
Category geospatial
Public Access Level public
Bureau Code 005:96
Metadata Context https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema/catalog.jsonld
Schema Version https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema
Catalog Describedby https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema/catalog.json
Harvest Object Id 38d6e4fc-d13c-45b2-be50-031e00cd7c6b
Harvest Source Id d3fafa34-0cb9-48f1-ab1d-5b5fdc783806
Harvest Source Title USDA JSON
Homepage URL https://data-usfs.hub.arcgis.com/datasets/usfs::probabilistic-wildfire-risk-flame-length-probability-5-alaska-image-service
License https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Metadata Type geospatial
Old Spatial 175.4175,48.8754,-116.0522,67.4254
Program Code 005:059
Progresscode onGoing
Source Datajson Identifier True
Source Hash 967e780a1769e293fcf93953e10b4165edb6b969dc59295f50e2aa96f6870cc5
Source Schema Version 1.1
Spatial {"type": "Polygon", "coordinates": 175.4175, 48.8754, 175.4175, 67.4254, -116.0522, 67.4254, -116.0522, 48.8754, 175.4175, 48.8754}

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