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Probabilistic Wildfire Risk Flame Length Probability 2 CONUS (Image Service)

Metadata Updated: November 14, 2025

Note: This image service has been consolidated into a unified service that now includes Alaska (AK), the Continental United States (CONUS), and Hawaii (HI). For access to the updated and combined image service, please visit the new item page: https://usfs.maps.arcgis.com/home/item.html?id=1ca31709636745f7bbacd90c87ea3f69.National data on burn probability (BP) and conditional flame-length probability (FLP) were generated for the conterminous United States (CONUS), Alaska, and Hawaii using a geospatial Fire Simulation (FSim) system developed by the USDA Forest Service Missoula Fire Sciences Laboratory. The FSim system includes modules for weather generation, wildfire occurrence, fire growth, and fire suppression. FSim is designed to simulate the occurrence and growth of wildfires under tens of thousands of hypothetical contemporary fire seasons in order to estimate the probability of a given area (i.e., pixel) burning under current landscape conditions and fire management practices. The data presented here represent modeled BP and FLPs for the United States (US) at a 270-meter grid spatial resolution. Flame-length probability is estimated for six standard Fire Intensity Levels. The six FLPs correspond to flame-length classes as follows: FLP1 = < 2 feet (ft); FLP2 = 2 < 4 ft.; FLP3 = 4 < 6 ft.; FLP4 = 6 < 8 ft.; FLP5 = 8 < 12 ft.; FLP6 = 12+ ft. Because they indicate conditional probabilities (i.e., representing the likelihood of burning at a certain intensity level, given that a fire occurs), the FLP data must be used in conjunction with the BP data for risk assessment.

Access & Use Information

Public: This dataset is intended for public access and use. License: Creative Commons Attribution

Downloads & Resources

Dates

Metadata Created Date December 5, 2024
Metadata Updated Date November 14, 2025

Metadata Source

Harvested from USDA JSON

Additional Metadata

Resource Type Dataset
Metadata Created Date December 5, 2024
Metadata Updated Date November 14, 2025
Publisher U.S. Forest Service
Maintainer
Identifier https://www.arcgis.com/home/item.html?id=a207ee821e68463e9bdab6eb46eea77d
Data First Published 2024-11-01
Data Last Modified 2025-10-06
Category geospatial
Public Access Level public
Bureau Code 005:96
Metadata Context https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema/catalog.jsonld
Schema Version https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema
Catalog Describedby https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema/catalog.json
Harvest Object Id 70803752-0b25-481c-b4b6-24923ba2d15c
Harvest Source Id d3fafa34-0cb9-48f1-ab1d-5b5fdc783806
Harvest Source Title USDA JSON
Homepage URL https://data-usfs.hub.arcgis.com/datasets/usfs::probabilistic-wildfire-risk-flame-length-probability-2-conus-image-service
License https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Metadata Type geospatial
Old Spatial -118.6879,22.4279,-64.0509,48.8583
Program Code 005:059
Progresscode onGoing
Source Datajson Identifier True
Source Hash 2e27fff1c482589de11587cc345b32bd7dad2711c1ef71b9e96df47da9702a55
Source Schema Version 1.1
Spatial {"type": "Polygon", "coordinates": -118.6879, 22.4279, -118.6879, 48.8583, -64.0509, 48.8583, -64.0509, 22.4279, -118.6879, 22.4279}

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