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Probabilistic Wildfire Risk Burn Probability Alaska (Image Service)

Metadata Updated: October 2, 2025

National Probabilistic Wildfire Risk Burn Probability (BP) and conditional fire intensity level (FIL) data were generated for Alaska using a geospatial Fire Simulation (FSim) system developed by the US Forest Service Missoula Fire Sciences Laboratory to estimate probabilistic components of wildfire risk (Finney et al. [2011]). The FSim system includes modules for weather generation, wildfire occurrence, fire growth, and fire suppression. FSim is designed to simulate the occurrence and growth of wildfires under tens of thousands of hypothetical contemporary fire seasons in order to estimate the probability of a given area (i.e., pixel) burning under current landscape conditions and fire management practices. The data presented here represent modeled BP and FIL for the conterminous US at a 270-meter grid spatial resolution. The six FILs correspond to flame-length classes as follows: FIL1 = < 2 feet (ft); FIL2 = 2 < 4 ft.; FIL3 = 4 < 6 ft.; FIL4 = 6 < 8 ft.; FIL5 = 8 < 12 ft.; FIL6 = 12+ ft. Because they indicate conditional probabilities (i.e., representing the likelihood of burning at a certain intensity level, given that a fire occurs), the FIL*_20160830 data must be used in conjunction with the BP_20160830 data for risk assessment.

Access & Use Information

Public: This dataset is intended for public access and use. License: Creative Commons Attribution

Downloads & Resources

Dates

Metadata Created Date December 5, 2024
Metadata Updated Date October 2, 2025

Metadata Source

Harvested from USDA JSON

Additional Metadata

Resource Type Dataset
Metadata Created Date December 5, 2024
Metadata Updated Date October 2, 2025
Publisher U.S. Forest Service
Maintainer
Identifier https://www.arcgis.com/home/item.html?id=f6a4d2bc70e8480b9f13994007480452
Data First Published 2024-11-08
Data Last Modified 2025-09-25
Category geospatial
Public Access Level public
Bureau Code 005:96
Metadata Context https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema/catalog.jsonld
Schema Version https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema
Catalog Describedby https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema/catalog.json
Harvest Object Id a0af96aa-0c85-4914-a244-28a4be1f0823
Harvest Source Id d3fafa34-0cb9-48f1-ab1d-5b5fdc783806
Harvest Source Title USDA JSON
Homepage URL https://data-usfs.hub.arcgis.com/datasets/usfs::probabilistic-wildfire-risk-burn-probability-alaska-image-service
License https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Metadata Type geospatial
Old Spatial 175.4175,48.8754,-116.0522,67.4254
Program Code 005:059
Progresscode onGoing
Source Datajson Identifier True
Source Hash 140e30505a1feda54809cb1a9b6b090666e1ae4654cf41b4e53dcd0ab5bbf59b
Source Schema Version 1.1
Spatial {"type": "Polygon", "coordinates": 175.4175, 48.8754, 175.4175, 67.4254, -116.0522, 67.4254, -116.0522, 48.8754, 175.4175, 48.8754}

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