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Data from: Are historical trends in weather consistent with model predictions in the Central United States?

Metadata Updated: September 2, 2025

This dataset includes the monthly and daily data used for the analysis of historical and future trends in precipitation and temperature at five Long-Term Agroecosystem Research (LTAR) sites: Kellogg Biological Station (KBS) in Michigan, Upper Mississippi River Basin (UMRB) in Iowa, Central Mississippi River Basin (CMRB) in Missouri, Southern Plains (SP) in Oklahoma, and Lower Mississippi River Basin (LMRB) in Mississippi. Historical data include the longest available record of daily precipitation, minimum temperature, and maximum temperature at weather stations from KBS, UMRB, CMRB, and LMRB, and the monthly 1895-2020 data from the National Ocean and Atmospheric Administration for the climate divisions that represent the five LTAR sites. Future data include 2020-2100 monthly predictions for the five sites from 26 Earth System Models and two Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSP): the middle of the road SSP245 (a continuation of current emission rates and geo-political conditions), and the fossil fueled development scenario SSP 585 (intensification of fossil fuel energy sources and corresponding emissions). In addition, the data includes the trends calculated from historical and future data, snippets of R code used to calculate these trends, and README files that detail the content of each file.Trends in records of 50 years or more showed that temperatures have changed from 1900-2020, more for minimum (0.1 - 0.3 ℃ decade-1) than maximum (-0.1 - 0.2 ℃ decade-1), more for winter (-0.1 - 0.3 ℃ decade-1) than summer (-0.1 - 0.1 ℃ decade-1), and more often in the north than in the south. Except in Mississippi, annual precipitation has increased at rates of 25 mm decade-1 or greater over 1950-2020, but monthly trends were inconsistent. Projected trends suggest continued temperature increases, highlighting the need for research on management systems that are resilient to such increases.

Access & Use Information

Public: This dataset is intended for public access and use. License: Creative Commons CCZero

Downloads & Resources

Dates

Metadata Created Date September 2, 2025
Metadata Updated Date September 2, 2025
Data Update Frequency R/P1D

Metadata Source

Harvested from USDA JSON

Additional Metadata

Resource Type Dataset
Metadata Created Date September 2, 2025
Metadata Updated Date September 2, 2025
Publisher Agricultural Research Service
Maintainer
Identifier 10.15482/USDA.ADC/29640977.v1
Data Last Modified 2025-08-11
Category geospatial
Public Access Level public
Data Update Frequency R/P1D
Bureau Code 005:18
Metadata Context https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema/catalog.jsonld
Schema Version https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema
Catalog Describedby https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema/catalog.json
Harvest Object Id 96294bd2-6b93-432b-ae53-e9f32a32363a
Harvest Source Id d3fafa34-0cb9-48f1-ab1d-5b5fdc783806
Harvest Source Title USDA JSON
License https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/
Metadata Type geospatial
Old Spatial {"type": "MultiPoint", "coordinates": -85.4, 42.4, -93.8, 42.3, -92.1, 39.2, -90.5, 33.45}
Program Code 005:040
Source Datajson Identifier True
Source Hash e1ea2e40827833e8585e80433774b112348591c8264fb59d0482e93425e77a28
Source Schema Version 1.1
Spatial {"type": "MultiPoint", "coordinates": -85.4, 42.4, -93.8, 42.3, -92.1, 39.2, -90.5, 33.45}
Temporal 1895-01-01/2100-01-01

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