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Spreadsheet of quantiles of change factors at 174 NOAA Atlas 14 stations in central and south Florida derived from various downscaled climate datasets considering all models, and the RCP8.5 and SSP5-8.5 future emission scenarios (CFquantiles_future_to_historical_all_models_RCP8.5.xlsx).

Metadata Updated: July 6, 2024

The South Florida Water Management District (SFWMD) and the U.S. Geological Survey have developed projected future change factors for precipitation depth-duration-frequency (DDF) curves at 174 NOAA Atlas 14 stations in central and south Florida. The change factors were computed as the ratio of projected future to historical extreme precipitation depths fitted to extreme precipitation data from various downscaled climate datasets using a constrained maximum likelihood (CML) approach. The change factors correspond to the period 2050-2089 (centered in the year 2070) as compared to the 1966-2005 historical period. A Microsoft Excel workbook is provided which tabulates quantiles of change factors derived from various downscaled climate datasets at grid cells closest to National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Atlas 14 stations in central and south Florida considering all the models and the RCP8.5 and SSP5-8.5 future emission scenarios. The change factors were computed as the ratio of projected future to historical precipitation depths fitted to extreme precipitation data using a constrained maximum likelihood approach (CML) for Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX), Localized Constructed Analogs) (LOCA) and Multivariate Adaptive Constructed Analogs (MACA) datasets, and a traditional maximum likelihood (ML) approach for the JupiterWRF (Weather Research and Forecasting Model) dataset. The quantiles of change factors are tabulated by duration (1, 3, and 7 days) and return period (5, 10, 25, 50, 100, and 200 years) for percentiles (non-exceedance probabilities) of 5, 16, 50, 84, and 95 percent considering all available models within each dataset and the representative concentration pathway RCP8.5 and shared socioeconomic pathway SSP5-8.5 future emission scenarios. RCP8.5 belongs to the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) and is available for the downscaled climate datasets CORDEX, LOCA, MACA, and JupiterWRF. SSP5-8.5 belongs to the Couple Model Intercomparison Phase 6 (CMIP6) and is available only for JupiterWRF. Only daily durations are evaluated for JupiterWRF.

Access & Use Information

Public: This dataset is intended for public access and use. License: No license information was provided. If this work was prepared by an officer or employee of the United States government as part of that person's official duties it is considered a U.S. Government Work.

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Dates

Metadata Created Date June 1, 2023
Metadata Updated Date July 6, 2024

Metadata Source

Harvested from DOI EDI

Additional Metadata

Resource Type Dataset
Metadata Created Date June 1, 2023
Metadata Updated Date July 6, 2024
Publisher U.S. Geological Survey
Maintainer
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Identifier USGS:615726b5d34e0df5fb9f82d5
Data Last Modified 20220401
Category geospatial
Public Access Level public
Bureau Code 010:12
Metadata Context https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema/catalog.jsonld
Metadata Catalog ID https://datainventory.doi.gov/data.json
Schema Version https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema
Catalog Describedby https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema/catalog.json
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Harvest Source Id 52bfcc16-6e15-478f-809a-b1bc76f1aeda
Harvest Source Title DOI EDI
Metadata Type geospatial
Old Spatial -83.5,24.0,-79.5,29.5
Publisher Hierarchy White House > U.S. Department of the Interior > U.S. Geological Survey
Source Datajson Identifier True
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