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    • Season-Average Price Forecasts

    Metadata Updated: April 21, 2025

    This data product provides three Excel file spreadsheet models that use futures prices to forecast the U.S. season-average price received and the implied CCP for three major field crops (corn, soybeans, and wheat).

    Using Futures Prices to Forecast the Season-Average Price and Counter-Cyclical Payment Rate for Corn, Soybeans, and Wheat

    Farmers and policymakers are interested in the level of counter-cyclical payments (CCPs) provided by the 2008 Farm Act to producers of selected commodities. CCPs are based on the season-average price received by farmers. (For more information on CCPs, see the ERS 2008 Farm Bill Side-By-Side, Title I: Commodity Programs.)

    This data product provides three Excel spreadsheet models that use futures prices to forecast the U.S. season-average price received and the implied CCP for three major field crops (corn, soybeans, and wheat). Users can view the model forecasts or create their own forecast by inserting different values for futures prices, basis values, or marketing weights. Example computations and data are provided on the Documentation page.

    Spreadsheet Models

    For each of the three major U.S. field crops, the Excel spreadsheet model computes a forecast for:

    1. the national-level season-average price received by farmers and
    2. the implied counter-cyclical payment rate.

    Note: the model forecasts are not official USDA forecasts. See USDA's World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates for official USDA season-average price forecasts. See USDA's Farm Service Agency information for official USDA CCP rates.

    Access & Use Information

    Public: This dataset is intended for public access and use. License: Creative Commons CCZero

    Downloads & Resources

    References

    http://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/season-average-price-forecasts/historical-forecasts.aspx

    Dates

    Metadata Created Date November 10, 2020
    Metadata Updated Date April 21, 2025
    Data Update Frequency R/P1M

    Metadata Source

    Harvested from USDA JSON

    Other Data Resources

    Additional Metadata

    Resource Type Dataset
    Metadata Created Date November 10, 2020
    Metadata Updated Date April 21, 2025
    Publisher Economic Research Service, Department of Agriculture
    Maintainer
    Identifier USDA-ERS-00088
    Data First Published 2020-04-09
    Data Last Modified 2020-07-10
    Public Access Level public
    Data Update Frequency R/P1M
    Bureau Code 005:13
    Metadata Context https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema/catalog.jsonld
    Schema Version https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema
    Catalog Describedby https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema/catalog.json
    Data Dictionary http://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/season-average-price-forecasts/documentation.aspx
    Harvest Object Id c352cd53-11d0-4eba-887a-b21155691a89
    Harvest Source Id d3fafa34-0cb9-48f1-ab1d-5b5fdc783806
    Harvest Source Title USDA JSON
    Homepage URL http://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/season-average-price-forecasts.aspx
    License https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/
    Program Code 005:041
    Related Documents http://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/season-average-price-forecasts/historical-forecasts.aspx
    Source Datajson Identifier True
    Source Hash 6c6c0079e7bd0e5c2e7659624cf9be8c8199c2b22847040dbdfc7a9737010aaf
    Source Schema Version 1.1

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