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Riparian climate refugia data in western and central USA for 2040-2069 and 2070-2099

Metadata Updated: November 13, 2025

We mapped potential climate change refugia for riparian areas in the central and western USA for 2040-2069 and 2070-2099. Riparian refugia are existing riparian areas that are projected to maintain riparian vegetation and associated ecological function under plausible future climates. Four input variables were included in the riparian refugia index: two landscape variables that represent where existing riparian areas may be more resilient to climatic changes (riparian connectedness and landscape diversity) and two climate variables that reflect projected exposure to climate change (runoff and warm days). For the climate variables, we considered two global circulation models: moderately hot and wet (CNRM-CM5) and hot and dry (IPSL-CM5A-MR) under RCP 8.5. The climate variables represented the projected change from a historical baseline (1971-2000) for two future 30-year time periods, mid-century (2040-2069) and late century (2070-2099). The four input variables of uniform pixel size were assigned equal weights and layered together using ArcGIS Pro's Suitability Modeler to create an index for riparian refugial quality. Here we provide raster layers for the riparian refugia index and three of the four input variables including riparian connectedness, runoff, and warm days. The fourth input variable, landscape diversity, was produced by The Nature Conservancy and is available online at The Nature Conservancy's Resilient and Connected Network. The four climate scenarios (CNRM-CM5 2040-2069, CNRM-CM5 2070-2099, IPSL-CM5A-MR 2040-2069, and IPSL-CM5A-MR 2070-209) are included as individual rasters for the riparian refugia index, runoff, and warm days, and are zipped into each base folder. We also provide a geodatabase that contains all the data (riparian refugia index, riparian connectedness, runoff, and warm days).

Access & Use Information

Public: This dataset is intended for public access and use. License: No license information was provided. If this work was prepared by an officer or employee of the United States government as part of that person's official duties it is considered a U.S. Government Work.

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Dates

Metadata Created Date September 14, 2025
Metadata Updated Date November 13, 2025

Metadata Source

Harvested from DOI USGS DCAT-US

Additional Metadata

Resource Type Dataset
Metadata Created Date September 14, 2025
Metadata Updated Date November 13, 2025
Publisher U.S. Geological Survey
Maintainer
Identifier http://datainventory.doi.gov/id/dataset/usgs-646cdaffd34ee02593fb4ebe
Data Last Modified 2025-08-18T00:00:00Z
Category geospatial
Public Access Level public
Bureau Code 010:12
Metadata Context https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema/catalog.jsonld
Metadata Catalog ID https://ddi.doi.gov/usgs-data.json
Schema Version https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema
Catalog Describedby https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema/catalog.json
Harvest Object Id 179c3051-0e86-4e82-8030-e2cfdb57d0dd
Harvest Source Id 2b80d118-ab3a-48ba-bd93-996bbacefac2
Harvest Source Title DOI USGS DCAT-US
Metadata Type geospatial
Old Spatial -119.2633, 35.4469, -94.3152, 50.5634
Source Datajson Identifier True
Source Hash 42c0ca89038f09d46da0aa8622b09f3c2bf9b5cd570f64615143e131192b6c4b
Source Schema Version 1.1
Spatial {"type": "Polygon", "coordinates": -119.2633, 35.4469, -119.2633, 50.5634, -94.3152, 50.5634, -94.3152, 35.4469, -119.2633, 35.4469}

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