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Projections of 5 coupled scenarios of land-use change and groundwater sustainability for California's Central Coast (2001-2061) - LUCAS-W model

Metadata Updated: July 6, 2024

LUCAS-W is a scenario-based simulation model of coupled land use change and associated water demand for California's Central Coast region from 2001-2061. The model is a verison of the LUCAS model, which uses the SyncroSim software framework (Software documentation available at http://doc.syncrosim.com/index.php?title=Reference_Guide), that contains a new coupling with statistical software R (https://www.r-project.org/) to enable dynamic feedbacks between land-use change, resulting water demand, and water availability. The model was parameterized with land-use change and water use empirically estimated from county-scale historic data, as well as results from dozens of local agencies’ groundwater modeling efforts. It was used to assess a set of five stakeholder-driven scenarios that explored alternative development pathways assuming the continuation of historic land use change rates but with different intensities of water supply and land-use management. Water management strategies were (1) water demand limits, and (2) water supply enhancement, while land use management strategies were (3) urban sprawl limits on recharge areas and prime farmland, and (4) preservation of priority habitat areas. By scaling up studies of local-scale diverse, heterogeneous aquifers and management approaches to a regional level, the model can enable a projection of spatial changes due to shifts in LULC and water management including leakage from land and water use regulated areas into unregulated areas, information that is key to future agency planning for sustainability. The resulting land-use projections provide a range of development projections under different sets of management assumptions: patterns of development that do not stabilize “business-as-usual” (WL), assume that water demand stabilizes at a range of possible sustainable water supply levels (MM, WH), and that assume a relatively unregulated (LL) or tightly compact (LH) pattern of future development. See Van Schmidt et al. (2022) Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies (https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2022.101056) for more details.

Access & Use Information

Public: This dataset is intended for public access and use. License: No license information was provided. If this work was prepared by an officer or employee of the United States government as part of that person's official duties it is considered a U.S. Government Work.

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Dates

Metadata Created Date June 1, 2023
Metadata Updated Date July 6, 2024

Metadata Source

Harvested from DOI EDI

Additional Metadata

Resource Type Dataset
Metadata Created Date June 1, 2023
Metadata Updated Date July 6, 2024
Publisher U.S. Geological Survey
Maintainer
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Identifier USGS:60d3da40d34e12a1b00a697c
Data Last Modified 20221220
Category geospatial
Public Access Level public
Bureau Code 010:12
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Metadata Catalog ID https://datainventory.doi.gov/data.json
Schema Version https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema
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Harvest Source Id 52bfcc16-6e15-478f-809a-b1bc76f1aeda
Harvest Source Title DOI EDI
Metadata Type geospatial
Old Spatial -122.4563,34.1568,-119.0345,37.4356
Publisher Hierarchy White House > U.S. Department of the Interior > U.S. Geological Survey
Source Datajson Identifier True
Source Hash 0575ee756c09988af75d03692dfc82058ea46c994a3c836984b5c8d5d0494e4d
Source Schema Version 1.1
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