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Projected proportional change in wildlife population measures for Scaled Quail, Gambel's Quail, and Gunnison's prairie dog under future climate scenarios in the U.S. Southwest

Published by U.S. Geological Survey | Department of the Interior | Catalog Last Checked: August 01, 2026 at 03:59 AM | Dataset Last Updated: April 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM
The dataset includes 36 raster files of predicted proportional change in wildlife population measure for different combinations of species, statistical model, time period, and emissions scenario. This collection includes all 36 possible combinations of three species (Gambel's Quail, Scaled Quail, and Gunnison's prairie dog), three future time periods (2021-2050, 2041-2070, and 2061-2090), two emissions scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5), and two statistical models (means and extremes). Wildlife population measures are population densities for prairie dog and occurrence probabilities for quail. Projected changes are relative to a reference period of 1981-2010. The means models included predictors representing climate means, annual phenology metrics, or biophysical variables that did not change through time. The extremes models included all of the predictors in the means model plus predictors representing climate extremes. Projections are masked to grid cells with land-cover types most commonly used by the species. Units of analysis are ~6x6 km grid cells.

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