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Projected current and future plant distributions in the Pacific Northwest
Projected current and future distributions of Abies amabilis (Pacific silver fir), Abies grandis (Grand fir), Abies procera (Noble fir), Acer macophylla (Big leaf maple), Larix lyallii (Subalpine larch), Larix occidentalis (Western larch), Pinus albicaulis (Whitebark pine), Quercus garryana (Garry oak), Taxus brevifolia (Pacific yew), Thuja plicata (Western red cedar) based on empirical bioclimatic models. Tree distributions models were built using 42 climate and bioclimatic
variables from Climate Western North America climate dataset (www.climatevulnerability.org). I used random forest to project USGS range maps (http://esp.cr.usgs.gov/data/little/) for historical (1961-1990) and five general circulation models (GCMs) for the SRES A2 emissions scenario. GCMs included: BCCR BCM2.0 (2070-2099), CCCMA CGCM3 (2070-2099), CSIRO MK 3.0 (2070-2099), INMCM 3.0 (2070-2099), and MIROC3.2 MEDRES (2070-2099).
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Complete Metadata
| accessLevel | public |
|---|---|
| bureauCode |
[ "010:12" ] |
| contactPoint |
{ "fn": "Michael J Case", "@type": "vcard:Contact", "hasEmail": "mailto:mcase@u.washington.edu" } |
| description | Projected current and future distributions of Abies amabilis (Pacific silver fir), Abies grandis (Grand fir), Abies procera (Noble fir), Acer macophylla (Big leaf maple), Larix lyallii (Subalpine larch), Larix occidentalis (Western larch), Pinus albicaulis (Whitebark pine), Quercus garryana (Garry oak), Taxus brevifolia (Pacific yew), Thuja plicata (Western red cedar) based on empirical bioclimatic models. Tree distributions models were built using 42 climate and bioclimatic variables from Climate Western North America climate dataset (www.climatevulnerability.org). I used random forest to project USGS range maps (http://esp.cr.usgs.gov/data/little/) for historical (1961-1990) and five general circulation models (GCMs) for the SRES A2 emissions scenario. GCMs included: BCCR BCM2.0 (2070-2099), CCCMA CGCM3 (2070-2099), CSIRO MK 3.0 (2070-2099), INMCM 3.0 (2070-2099), and MIROC3.2 MEDRES (2070-2099). |
| distribution |
[ { "@type": "dcat:Distribution", "title": "Digital Data", "format": "XML", "accessURL": "https://doi.org/10.5066/P13RMVPY", "mediaType": "application/http", "description": "Landing page for access to the data" }, { "@type": "dcat:Distribution", "title": "Original Metadata", "format": "XML", "mediaType": "text/xml", "description": "The metadata original format", "downloadURL": "https://data.usgs.gov/datacatalog/metadata/USGS.5543ad7be4b0a658d794168d.xml" } ] |
| identifier | http://datainventory.doi.gov/id/dataset/USGS_5543ad7be4b0a658d794168d |
| keyword |
[ "Bergen Climate Model (BCM) 2.0", "Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research (BCCR)", "Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis (CCCma)", "Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO) Mark 3.0", "Coupled Global Climate Model (CGCM) 3", "Institute for Numerical Mathematics (INM) CM 3.0", "Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate (MIROC) 3.2 medres", "USGS:5543ad7be4b0a658d794168d", "biota", "climate change", "external research support", "geospatial datasets", "pre-SM502.8", "projections", "tree range shift", "tree species distributions", "vulnerability assessment", "western Canada", "western North America", "western United States" ] |
| modified | 2026-09-10T00:00:00Z |
| publisher |
{ "name": "U.S. Geological Survey", "@type": "org:Organization" } |
| spatial | -139.0458, 24.9472, -89.0375, 59.9556 |
| theme |
[ "geospatial" ] |
| title | Projected current and future plant distributions in the Pacific Northwest |