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Probabilistic estimates of the distribution of near-surface (within 1m) permafrost in Alaska.

Metadata Updated: November 26, 2025

This medium resolution (i.e. 30-m pixels) spatial dataset provides an estimate of the occurrence of near-surface (within 1 m of the ground surface) permafrost in Alaska. The dataset was developed using a decision-tree model that statistically and spatially extended late-season field observations (n ~ 17,000) using remotely sensed imagery, climatic data, and thematic maps of a wide range of surface and subsurface biophysical characteristics. To circumvent the use of seasonal frost observations, only thaw-depth measurements taken during late-season months (late July to mid-September) or measurements designated to have no near-surface (within 1m) permafrost were used for model calibration and validation. Individual pixel values represent the probability of encountering near-surface permafrost (i.e. 0 to 100 %), as derived from a tree ensemble model, and pixel values greater than 100 correspond to masked land cover types (i.e. 101 = open water; 102 = perennial ice/snow; 103 = developed; 104 = barren, and; 105 = cultivated areas) as defined by the 2001 National Land Cover Database. Decision tree models and resultant maps were tested using independent field observations and f-fold cross validations, which indicated that the map product has an overall accuracy of approximately 85 % when using a probability threshold of 50 % (i.e. less than 50 % = near-surface permafrost absent; greater than or equal to 50 % = near-surface permafrost present).

Access & Use Information

Public: This dataset is intended for public access and use. License: No license information was provided. If this work was prepared by an officer or employee of the United States government as part of that person's official duties it is considered a U.S. Government Work.

Downloads & Resources

Dates

Metadata Created Date September 12, 2025
Metadata Updated Date November 26, 2025

Metadata Source

Harvested from DOI USGS DCAT-US

Additional Metadata

Resource Type Dataset
Metadata Created Date September 12, 2025
Metadata Updated Date November 26, 2025
Publisher U.S. Geological Survey
Maintainer
Identifier http://datainventory.doi.gov/id/dataset/usgs-5602ab5ae4b03bc34f5448b4
Data Last Modified 2020-08-18T00:00:00Z
Category geospatial
Public Access Level public
Bureau Code 010:12
Metadata Context https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema/catalog.jsonld
Metadata Catalog ID https://ddi.doi.gov/usgs-data.json
Schema Version https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema
Catalog Describedby https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema/catalog.json
Harvest Object Id 0ebf90cb-c1ac-48bc-ba2c-39514120a030
Harvest Source Id 2b80d118-ab3a-48ba-bd93-996bbacefac2
Harvest Source Title DOI USGS DCAT-US
Metadata Type geospatial
Source Datajson Identifier True
Source Hash 55149938564bc15adbfb2656a48add3d75ff3f508e21b9755a5e5189a3ed958d
Source Schema Version 1.1

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