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Predicted Total and Proportion Grassland Loss (2021-2031)

Metadata Updated: October 23, 2025

These rasters represent landscape-scale (i.e., 3.6 x 3.6 km window) predictions of unprotected grassland loss (i.e., grass, shrub, herbaceous wetland cover) from 2021-2031 at 270 m resolution for the contiguous US. Each 270 m pixel value is a grassland loss prediction for the 3.6 x 3.6 km area around the pixel. These were generated by training random forest regression models by relating unprotected grassland loss from 2011-2021 to a suite of covariates from ~2011, and then applying these models to updated surface data ~2021 to make loss predictions for the period of 2021-2031. We developed models for two loss metrics:

1- Total loss – predictions represent ha unprotected grass loss per 3.6 x 3.6 km area around each pixel

2- Proportion loss – predictions represent the amount of unprotected grass lost out of what was available to be lost per 3.6 x 3.6 km area around each pixel

We include models that predict grass loss to cropland or development, as well as grass loss to crop, and grass loss to development, separately. We also include an example of how these and other data can be used to prioritize landscapes for conservation.

See the included README document for more information.

Access & Use Information

Public: This dataset is intended for public access and use. License: No license information was provided. If this work was prepared by an officer or employee of the United States government as part of that person's official duties it is considered a U.S. Government Work.

Downloads & Resources

Dates

Metadata Created Date September 11, 2025
Metadata Updated Date October 23, 2025

Metadata Source

Harvested from DOI FWS DCAT-US

Additional Metadata

Resource Type Dataset
Metadata Created Date September 11, 2025
Metadata Updated Date October 23, 2025
Publisher U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service
Maintainer
Identifier http://datainventory.doi.gov/id/dataset/fws-servcat-163851
Data First Published 2024-02-04T00:00:00Z
Data Last Modified 2024-02-04T00:00:00Z
Category Raster Dataset
Public Access Level public
Bureau Code 010:18
Metadata Context https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema/catalog.jsonld
Metadata Catalog ID https://ddi.doi.gov/fws-data.json
Schema Version https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema
Catalog Describedby https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema/catalog.json
Harvest Object Id 67ceddb5-6a0e-4cff-84b9-e1ef287c97ff
Harvest Source Id f51f1f6c-4e4a-4e0a-b4e3-a5577c6dcc19
Harvest Source Title DOI FWS DCAT-US
Homepage URL https://iris.fws.gov/APPS/ServCat/Reference/Profile/163851
Old Spatial -126.117188,24.3454227,-65.73633,49.36687
Program Code 010:094, 010:028
Source Datajson Identifier True
Source Hash 336784c067076ffd5a73a89c7f33bea26d8d7cc9dbe7df54e8dc1338740491c2
Source Schema Version 1.1
Spatial {"type": "Polygon", "coordinates": -126.117188, 24.3454227, -126.117188, 49.36687, -65.73633, 49.36687, -65.73633, 24.3454227, -126.117188, 24.3454227}

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