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NCCOS Ecological Effects of Sea Level Rise in the Northern Gulf of Mexico (EESLR-NGOM): Simulated Return Period Stillwater Elevation (NCEI Accession 0170340)

Published by NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information | National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Department of Commerce | Catalog Last Checked: August 03, 2026 at 03:04 AM | Dataset Last Updated: July 21, 2020 at 12:00 AM
This dataset comprises stillwater storm surge projections for 2100 for the northern Gulf of Mexico (Mississippi, Alabama, and the Florida panhandle) using a high-resolution coupled SWAN+ADCIRC model (Bilskie et al., 2016a). These results are from a predictive model in a scenario-based modeling framework that makes projections under sea level difference scenarios. There are two categories of stillwater storm surge model outputs for the 1% and 0.2% annual chance occurrence probability -- meaning 1% or 0.2% chance of being met or exceeded in any given year -- resulting from the Ecological Effect of Sea Level Rise Northern Gulf of Mexico (EESLR-NGOM) project: 1) Water surface elevation of stillwater storm surge [ 1 GB total file size, 150 files] and 2) Inundation depth above ground of stillwater storm surge [ 1 GB total file size, 150 files]. The boundaries for the three study regions are also included. For a complete description of the methods used to generate these results, please see the Bilskie et al. (2017) publication, referenced in the ‘Cited Publications’ section below. Each stillwater storm surge model output, described below, is provided for the following 5 sea level rise scenarios (Parris et al. 2012): Initial Condition (no change from c. 2000 mean sea level (MSL)), Low (+0.2m from MSL), Intermediate-Low (+0.5m from MSL), Intermediate-High (+1.2m from MSL), and High (+2.0m from MSL).

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  • NCEI Dataset Landing Page

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  • Descriptive Information

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  • https://doi.org/10.1002/2015ef000347

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  • https://doi.org/10.1002/2015jc011400

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  • Global Sea Level Rise Scenarios for the US National Climate Assessment

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  • https://doi.org/10.1002/2015ef000332

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  • https://coastalscience.noaa.gov/project/predicting-impacts-sea-level-rise-gulf-mexico/

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  • Coastal Dynamics of Sea Level Rise Mapping Interface for Research Applications

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  • Coastal Dynamics of Sea Level Rise: Storm Surge

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  • https://doi.org/10.7289/v5dr2srj

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  • https://doi.org/10.7289/v5fq9tvx

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  • GCMD Keyword Forum Page

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  • NCEI Contact Information

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0170340 SEA LEVEL derived products GIS product model output NOAA National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science NOAA National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science Coastal Waters of Alabama

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description This dataset comprises stillwater storm surge projections for 2100 for the northern Gulf of Mexico (Mississippi, Alabama, and the Florida panhandle) using a high-resolution coupled SWAN+ADCIRC model (Bilskie et al., 2016a). These results are from a predictive model in a scenario-based modeling framework that makes projections under sea level difference scenarios. There are two categories of stillwater storm surge model outputs for the 1% and 0.2% annual chance occurrence probability -- meaning 1% or 0.2% chance of being met or exceeded in any given year -- resulting from the Ecological Effect of Sea Level Rise Northern Gulf of Mexico (EESLR-NGOM) project: 1) Water surface elevation of stillwater storm surge [ 1 GB total file size, 150 files] and 2) Inundation depth above ground of stillwater storm surge [ 1 GB total file size, 150 files]. The boundaries for the three study regions are also included. For a complete description of the methods used to generate these results, please see the Bilskie et al. (2017) publication, referenced in the ‘Cited Publications’ section below. Each stillwater storm surge model output, described below, is provided for the following 5 sea level rise scenarios (Parris et al. 2012): Initial Condition (no change from c. 2000 mean sea level (MSL)), Low (+0.2m from MSL), Intermediate-Low (+0.5m from MSL), Intermediate-High (+1.2m from MSL), and High (+2.0m from MSL).
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identifier https://data.noaa.gov/waf/NOAA/NESDIS/ncei/accessions/iso/xml/0170340.xml
issued 2018-01-29T00:00:00.000+00:00
keyword 
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  "SEA LEVEL",
  "derived products",
  "GIS product",
  "model output",
  "NOAA National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science",
  "NOAA National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science",
  "Coastal Waters of Alabama",
  "Coastal Waters of Florida",
  "Coastal Waters of Gulf of Mexico",
  "Coastal Waters of Mississippi",
  "Gulf of Mexico",
  "North Atlantic Ocean",
  "oceanography",
  "DOC/NOAA/NOS/NCCOS > National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science, National Ocean Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce",
  "EESLR",
  "Ecological Effects of Sea Level Rise",
  "NCCOS Project 162",
  "Predicting Impacts of Sea level Rise in the Northern Gulf of Mexico",
  "EARTH SCIENCE > OCEANS > SEA SURFACE TOPOGRAPHY > SEA LEVEL",
  "Earth Science > Climate Indicators > Atmospheric/Ocean Indicators > Sea Level Rise",
  "Earth Science > Climate Indicators > Atmospheric/Ocean Indicators > Sea Level Rise > Inundation",
  "Earth Science > Oceans > Ocean Waves > Storm Surge",
  "Coastal Change > Climate Impacts on Ecosystems",
  "Derived Data Product",
  "Geospatial",
  "Model",
  "Environmental Modeling",
  "SLR",
  "inundation",
  "sea level rise",
  "stillwater",
  "storm surge",
  "OCEAN > ATLANTIC OCEAN > NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN",
  "OCEAN > ATLANTIC OCEAN > NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN > GULF OF AMERICA",
  "OCEAN > ATLANTIC OCEAN > NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN > GULF OF MEXICO",
  "U.S. States and Territories > Alabama",
  "U.S. States and Territories > Florida",
  "U.S. States and Territories > Mississippi",
  "Apalachicola National Estuarine Research Reserve",
  "Grand Bay National Estuarine Research Reserve",
  "NGOM",
  "Northern Gulf of Mexico",
  "Weeks Bay National Estuarine Research Reserve",
  "HLL84M"
]
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license https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/
modified 2020-07-21T00:00:00.000+00:00
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  "https://doi.org/10.1002/2015jc011400",
  "https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/11124",
  "https://doi.org/10.1002/2015ef000332",
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rights otherRestrictions
spatial -83.63392,29.57364,-89.823278,31.162718
temporal 2010-09-01T00:00:00+00:00/2017-08-31T00:00:00+00:00
theme 
[
  "geospatial"
]
title NCCOS Ecological Effects of Sea Level Rise in the Northern Gulf of Mexico (EESLR-NGOM): Simulated Return Period Stillwater Elevation (NCEI Accession 0170340)

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