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NCCOS Assessment: Sea Level Affecting Marshes Model (SLAMM) Habitat Projections in Plum Island Estuary (PIE), MA, 2040 to 2100 (NCEI Accession 0315948)

Published by NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information | National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Department of Commerce | Catalog Last Checked: September 26, 2026 at 10:09 PM | Dataset Last Updated: August 05, 2026 at 12:00 AM
This dataset contains spatial habitats projections for the years 2040, 2060, 2080, and 2100, generated by the Sea Level Affecting Marshes Model (SLAMM) for the Plum Island Estuary (PIE), Massachusetts. The raster data represent model projections of habitat classes resulting from an ensemble of inputs to account for both topographic and climate uncertainty. Topographic uncertainty was addressed via simulations run across three uncertainty-adjusted digital elevation models (DEMs representing the 20th, 40th, and 80th percentiles of elevation error) in addition to a baseline original DEM. Climate uncertainty was incorporated using three probabilistic relative sea-level rise (SLR) scenarios (Intermediate, Intermediate-High, and High), evaluating three statistical trajectories (17th, 50th, and 83rd percentiles) for the Monte Carlo DEMs, and the 50th percentile (median) trajectory for the baseline DEM. This data accession includes 120 total simulation results, each resulting from unique combinations of topographic uncertainty, climate scenarios, and time-steps. For example, the 40th percentile DEM paired with the 83rd percentile trajectory of the Int-High SLR scenario for the year 2080. The spatial resolution of the raster data is 3 meters, with results provided in 20-year intervals.

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  • NCEI Dataset Landing Page

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  • Descriptive Information

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  • https://pubs.usgs.gov/publication/70229139

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  • https://experience.arcgis.com/experience/d3e9fac989b948dca95fc66445f7b4d6

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  • https://www.fws.gov/program/national-wetlands-inventory

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  • https://coastalscience.noaa.gov/project/toward-a-national-coastal-ecosystem-prediction-system/

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  • https://www.fisheries.noaa.gov/inport/item/69417

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  • https://doi.org/10.5066/p1ed6xkf

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  • https://doi.org/10.6073/pasta/468eee03bb78042f663dda443b6b952c

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  • GCMD Keyword Forum Page

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  • NCEI Contact Information

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0315948 HABITAT SEA LEVEL GIS product model output NOAA National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science NOAA National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science East Coast - US/Canada

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description This dataset contains spatial habitats projections for the years 2040, 2060, 2080, and 2100, generated by the Sea Level Affecting Marshes Model (SLAMM) for the Plum Island Estuary (PIE), Massachusetts. The raster data represent model projections of habitat classes resulting from an ensemble of inputs to account for both topographic and climate uncertainty. Topographic uncertainty was addressed via simulations run across three uncertainty-adjusted digital elevation models (DEMs representing the 20th, 40th, and 80th percentiles of elevation error) in addition to a baseline original DEM. Climate uncertainty was incorporated using three probabilistic relative sea-level rise (SLR) scenarios (Intermediate, Intermediate-High, and High), evaluating three statistical trajectories (17th, 50th, and 83rd percentiles) for the Monte Carlo DEMs, and the 50th percentile (median) trajectory for the baseline DEM. This data accession includes 120 total simulation results, each resulting from unique combinations of topographic uncertainty, climate scenarios, and time-steps. For example, the 40th percentile DEM paired with the 83rd percentile trajectory of the Int-High SLR scenario for the year 2080. The spatial resolution of the raster data is 3 meters, with results provided in 20-year intervals.
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identifier https://data.noaa.gov/waf/NOAA/NESDIS/ncei/accessions/iso/xml/0315948.xml
issued 2026-06-17T00:00:00.000+00:00
keyword 
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  "0315948",
  "HABITAT",
  "SEA LEVEL",
  "GIS product",
  "model output",
  "NOAA National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science",
  "NOAA National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science",
  "East Coast - US/Canada",
  "Gulf of Maine",
  "North Atlantic Ocean",
  "oceanography",
  "DOC/NOAA/NOS/NCCOS > National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science, National Ocean Service, NOAA, U.S. Department of Commerce",
  "Coastal Ecosystem Prediction System https://experience.arcgis.com/experience/d3e9fac989b948dca95fc66445f7b4d6",
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  "EARTH SCIENCE > OCEANS > SEA SURFACE TOPOGRAPHY > SEA LEVEL",
  "Geospatial",
  "Model",
  "Coastal Change: Vulnerability, Mitigation, and Restoration",
  "Climate Impacts",
  "Forecasting",
  "Predictive/Spatial Modeling",
  "Salt Marshes",
  "Coastal Wetlands",
  "Habitat type",
  "Marsh Migration",
  "Marsh Resilience",
  "SLAMM Modeling",
  "Sea-Level Rise",
  "Uncertainty and Variability",
  "Model Output (Sea Level Affecting Marshes Model - SLAMM version 6.7)",
  "OCEAN > ATLANTIC OCEAN > NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN",
  "OCEAN > ATLANTIC OCEAN > NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN > GULF OF MAINE",
  "Geographic Areas > Estuaries",
  "Regions > Atlantic Ocean",
  "U.S. States and territories > Massachusetts",
  "Gulf of Maine",
  "North Atlantic Ocean",
  "Plum Island Estuary, MA",
  "0JGK3M"
]
landingPage https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/contact
language 
[]
license https://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/
modified 2026-08-05T00:00:00.000+00:00
publisher 
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references 
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rights otherRestrictions
spatial -70.7407,42.6463,-70.9485,42.8248
temporal 2040-01-01T00:00:00+00:00/2100-01-01T00:00:00+00:00
theme 
[
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]
title NCCOS Assessment: Sea Level Affecting Marshes Model (SLAMM) Habitat Projections in Plum Island Estuary (PIE), MA, 2040 to 2100 (NCEI Accession 0315948)

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