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LUCAS model spatial output data of historical and projected future land change transition probabilities for California

Published by U.S. Geological Survey | Department of the Interior | Catalog Last Checked: May 05, 2026 at 09:43 PM | Dataset Last Updated: September 06, 2024 at 12:00 AM
This dataset provides annual raster maps of transition probability (i.e., land use change or disturbance) for California, USA. Land change transition probabilities were derived from the Land Use and Carbon Scenario Simulator (LUCAS). The model was run at 1-km resolution on an annual timestep for historical (1985-2020) and projected future (2021-2100) time periods. Simulations for the projected future time period were run under all combinations of four climate scenarios, two urbanization scenarios, and two vegetation management scenarios with 40 Monte Carlo realizations for each simulation.

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