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Landslide Probability in the San Francisco Bay Region. The Haywired Earthquake Scenario

Metadata Updated: November 27, 2025

This map shows the potential of widespread slope failures, in terms of landslide probability, triggered by a M7.0 scenario earthquake on the Hayward Fault in the 10-county area surrounding the San Francisco Bay region, California. The likelihood of landsliding was evaluated using an equation developed by Jibson and others (2000) that estimates landslide probability as a function of predicted Newmark displacement. Based on this equation, four landslide probability categories are established with their corresponding percent likelihood and displacement ranges: Low (0-2%; 0-1 cm), Moderate (2-15%; 1-5 cm), High (15-32%; 5-15 cm), and Very High (>32%; >15 cm).The seismic-landslide probability map covers the counties of Alameda, Contra Costa, Marin, Napa, San Francisco, San Mateo, Santa Clara, Santa Cruz, Solano, and Sonoma. The slope failures are triggered by a hypothetical earthquake with a moment magnitude of 7.0 occurring on April 18, 2018, at 4:18 p.m. on the Hayward Fault in the east bay part of California’s San Francisco Bay region.

Access & Use Information

Public: This dataset is intended for public access and use. License: No license information was provided. If this work was prepared by an officer or employee of the United States government as part of that person's official duties it is considered a U.S. Government Work.

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Dates

Metadata Created Date September 14, 2025
Metadata Updated Date November 27, 2025

Metadata Source

Harvested from DOI USGS DCAT-US

Additional Metadata

Resource Type Dataset
Metadata Created Date September 14, 2025
Metadata Updated Date November 27, 2025
Publisher U.S. Geological Survey
Maintainer
Identifier http://datainventory.doi.gov/id/dataset/usgs-5910b0c7e4b0e541a03ac88d
Data Last Modified 2020-08-18T00:00:00Z
Category geospatial
Public Access Level public
Bureau Code 010:12
Metadata Context https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema/catalog.jsonld
Metadata Catalog ID https://ddi.doi.gov/usgs-data.json
Schema Version https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema
Catalog Describedby https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema/catalog.json
Harvest Object Id 633ae77b-c3c0-4383-b88b-1f994ebbbec0
Harvest Source Id 2b80d118-ab3a-48ba-bd93-996bbacefac2
Harvest Source Title DOI USGS DCAT-US
Metadata Type geospatial
Source Datajson Identifier True
Source Hash 01228c33e0997e703c2fc3e3d9cb4260aa70bd07c83675ec03bdb0b0d50fb545
Source Schema Version 1.1

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