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Land Use and Conservation Scenarios for California's 4th Climate Change Assessment

Metadata Updated: October 1, 2025

This dataset consists of modeled projections of land use and land cover for the State of California for the period 2001-2101. The Land Use and Carbon Scenario Simulator (LUCAS) model was initialized in 2001 and run forward on an annual time step to 2100. In total 9 simulations were run with 10 Monte Carlo replications of each simulation. Two base scenarios were selected from Sleeter et al., 2017 (http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2017EF000560/full) for analysis, including a "business-as-usual" (BAU) land use scenario and a scenario based on "medium" population projections. For each base scenario we ran three alternative conservation scenarios where we simulated conversion of lands into conservation easements. The three conservation easement scenarios simulated conversion of 1) 120 km2/yr for 15 years, 2) 120 km2/yr for 30 years, and 3) 240 km2/yr for 30 years. All easement conversions were set to begin in 2020 and extend for their stated duration. In addition to the conservation easement scenarios, we also ran a variant of the BAU land use scenario where current Williamson Act lands were removed from the simulation of future conditions.

Access & Use Information

Public: This dataset is intended for public access and use. License: No license information was provided. If this work was prepared by an officer or employee of the United States government as part of that person's official duties it is considered a U.S. Government Work.

Downloads & Resources

Dates

Metadata Created Date September 12, 2025
Metadata Updated Date October 1, 2025

Metadata Source

Harvested from DOI USGS DCAT-US

Additional Metadata

Resource Type Dataset
Metadata Created Date September 12, 2025
Metadata Updated Date October 1, 2025
Publisher U.S. Geological Survey
Maintainer
Identifier http://datainventory.doi.gov/id/dataset/usgs-59fa6e5ae4b0531197aff9d3
Data Last Modified 2020-08-30T00:00:00Z
Category geospatial
Public Access Level public
Bureau Code 010:12
Metadata Context https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema/catalog.jsonld
Metadata Catalog ID https://ddi.doi.gov/usgs-data.json
Schema Version https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema
Catalog Describedby https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema/catalog.json
Harvest Object Id e8d98220-cfdd-42bf-9acc-f5ff480fb08e
Harvest Source Id 2b80d118-ab3a-48ba-bd93-996bbacefac2
Harvest Source Title DOI USGS DCAT-US
Metadata Type geospatial
Old Spatial -125.37597656108, 32.063584805751, -113.73046874904, 42.13049682121
Source Datajson Identifier True
Source Hash bbfb4fba8cd99798cd5edf3c12f0bb4f453fa1136b0cb648de91796d212470a2
Source Schema Version 1.1
Spatial {"type": "Polygon", "coordinates": -125.37597656108, 32.063584805751, -125.37597656108, 42.13049682121, -113.73046874904, 42.13049682121, -113.73046874904, 32.063584805751, -125.37597656108, 32.063584805751}

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