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Initial and Future Marsh Productivity Conditions Under Three Sea-Level Rise Scenarios (Intermediate-Low, Intermediate, and Intermediate-High) from 2020 to 2100 in the Apalachicola-Big-Bend Region

Published by U.S. Geological Survey | Department of the Interior | Catalog Last Checked: August 01, 2026 at 05:45 AM | Dataset Last Updated: June 21, 2022 at 12:00 AM
Using the Hydro-MEM (Hydrodynamic-Marsh Equilibrium Model) (Alizad and others, 2016a; 2016b), the wetlands system within the Apalachicola-Big-Bend (ABB) region of Florida (FL) was assessed using initial and three sea-level rise (SLR) scenarios from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) (Sweet and others, 2017). The initial (init) scenario represents the present conditions in the year 2020. The intermediate-low (int-low) scenario projects 50 centimeters (cm) of SLR by 2100, the intermediate (int) scenario projects 1 meter (m) of SLR by 2100, and the intermediate-high (int-high) scenario projects 1.5 m of SLR by 2100. Hydro-MEM input data includes elevation, tidal forcings, river inflow, and field-collected parameters and couples a hydrodynamic and biological model to capture feedback processes in the wetland system. The model incorporates a spatially-varying marsh parabola parametrization and considers SLR-induced salinity intrusion proxy in the system (Alizad and others, 2022b). This data release (Alizad and others, 2022a) includes the initial and future conditions under three SLR scenarios and model outputs of marsh productivity, which is based on biomass density (Alizad and others, 2016a). For further information regarding model input generation and visualization of model output, refer to Alizad and others (2016a).

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