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Hybrid machine learning model to predict 3D in-situ permeability evolution

Metadata Updated: January 20, 2025

Enhanced geothermal systems (EGS) can provide a sustainable and renewable solution to the new energy transition. Its potential relies on the ability to create a reservoir and to accurately evaluate its evolving hydraulic properties to predict fluid flow and estimate ultimate thermal recovery. Here we develop a hybrid machine learning (ML) model to predict permeability evolution of intermediate-scale (~10 m) hydraulic stimulation experiments at the Sanford Underground Research Facility (the EGS Collab project). We present a 3D map in situ permeability evolution for two of stimulation episodes in this project using microearthquakes (MEQs) data and injection histories of wellhead pressure and flow rate. This map includes both average reservoir permeability evolution over time and local fracture permeability distribution within the evolved reservoir. Compared with the ground truth of average permeability calculated from the well data, our predicted average permeability for these two episodes has a MSE value less than 2.9E-4 and R2 higher than 0.93, indicating that average permeability predicted by machine learning is consistent with good agreement with field observation. Additionally, distributed fracture permeability calculated by empirical equation over time shows the process of fracture propagation and identify the potential fluid path for geothermal reservoir.

Access & Use Information

Public: This dataset is intended for public access and use. License: Creative Commons Attribution

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Dates

Metadata Created Date January 11, 2025
Metadata Updated Date January 20, 2025

Metadata Source

Harvested from OpenEI data.json

Additional Metadata

Resource Type Dataset
Metadata Created Date January 11, 2025
Metadata Updated Date January 20, 2025
Publisher Pennsylvania State University
Maintainer
Identifier https://data.openei.org/submissions/7429
Data First Published 2022-11-22T07:00:00Z
Data Last Modified 2023-10-04T19:45:01Z
Public Access Level public
Bureau Code 019:20
Metadata Context https://openei.org/data.json
Metadata Catalog ID https://openei.org/data.json
Schema Version https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema
Catalog Describedby https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema/catalog.json
Data Quality True
Datagov Dedupe Retained 20250120155001
Harvest Object Id cf7787d1-76db-4d45-90cc-fd360476a8cf
Harvest Source Id 7cbf9085-0290-4e9f-bec1-91653baeddfd
Harvest Source Title OpenEI data.json
Homepage URL https://gdr.openei.org/submissions/1311
License https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
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Program Code 019:006
Projectlead Mike Weathers
Projectnumber EE0008763
Projecttitle Machine Learning Approaches to Predicting Induced Seismicity and Imaging Geothermal Reservoir Properties
Source Datajson Identifier True
Source Hash dcd935f109ab69589a9614967132d0b746c896ea281e069ca7313ec2e81f8907
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