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Extreme Water Levels from CO-OPS

Published by Center for Operational Oceanographic Products and Services | National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Department of Commerce | Catalog Last Checked: May 10, 2026 at 09:08 AM | Dataset Last Updated: January 01, 2013 at 12:00 AM
Extremely high or low water levels at coastal locations are an important public concern and a factor in coastal hazard assessment, navigational safety, and ecosystem management. The probability that water levels will exceed a given elevation is based on a statistical analysis of historical extremely high and low water levels. This product provides annual exceedance probability levels for select Center for Operational Oceanographic Products and Services (CO-OPS) water level stations with at least 30 years of data. When used in conjunction with real-time station data, exceedance probability levels can be used to evaluate current conditions and determine whether a rare event is occurring. This information may also be instrumental in planning for the possibility of dangerously high or low water events at a local level. The extreme levels measured by the CO-OPS tide gauges during storms are called storm tides, which are the total observed seawater level during a storm, resulting from the combination of storm surge and the astronomical tide. They do not include wave runup, the movement of water up a slope. Therefore, the 1% annual exceedance probability levels do not necessarily correspond to the Base Flood Elevations (BFE) defined by the Federal Emergency Management Administration (FEMA), which are the basis for the National Flood Insurance Program. The 1% annual exceedance probability levels more closely correspond to FEMA's Still Water Flood Elevations (SWEL). The peak levels from tsunamis, which can cause high-frequency fluctuations at some locations, have not been included in this statistical analysis due to their infrequency during the periods of historic record.

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