Following wildfire, mountainous areas of the western United States are susceptible to enhanced runoff and erosion and an increased vulnerability to debris flow during intense rainfall. Convective storms that can generate debris flows in recently burned areas may occur during or immediately after the wildfire, leaving insufficient time for development and implementation of risk mitigation strategies. We present a method for estimating post-fire debris-flow hazards prior to wildfire using historical data to define the range of potential fire severity for a given location based on the statistical distribution of severity metrics obtained from remote sensing. Estimates of debris-flow likelihood, magnitude and triggering rainfall threshold based upon the statistically simulated fire severity data provide hazard predictions consistent with those calculated from fire severity data collected after wildfire. Simulated fire severity data also produce hazard estimates that replicate observed debris-flow occurrence, rainfall conditions, and magnitude at a monitored site in the San Gabriel Mountains of southern California. Future applications of this method should rely upon a range of potential fire severity scenarios for improved pre-fire estimates of debris-flow hazard. The method presented here is also applicable to modeling other post-fire hazards, such as flooding and erosion risk, and for quantifying historic trends in fire severity in a changing climate. This release contains the data used to derive the historical distributions of fire severity, including a) the data used to derive a Weibull cumulative distribution function to historical measures of the differenced normalized burn ratio for fires >= 4 square kilometers (1000 acres) that burned between 2001 and 2014 in the western United States, b) the shape and scale parameters for the Weibull cumulative distribution function for every class of existing vegetation type, and the statistics describing goodness-of-fit of the Weibull distribution to these data, and c) the data used to determine the BARC4 threshold defining the break between pixels burned at low and moderate or high severity.