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Data for multiple linear regression models for predicting microcystin concentration action-level exceedances in selected lakes in Ohio

Metadata Updated: January 20, 2026

Site-specific multiple linear regression models were developed for eight sites in Ohio—six in the Western Lake Erie Basin and two in northeast Ohio on inland reservoirs--to quickly predict action-level exceedances for a cyanotoxin, microcystin, in recreational and drinking waters used by the public. Real-time models include easily- or continuously-measured factors that do not require that a sample be collected. Real-time models are presented in two categories: (1) six models with continuous monitor data, and (2) three models with on-site measurements. Real-time models commonly included variables such as phycocyanin, pH, specific conductance, and streamflow or gage height. Many of the real-time factors were averages over time periods antecedent to the time the microcystin sample was collected, including water-quality data compiled from continuous monitors. Comprehensive models use a combination of discrete sample-based measurements and real-time factors. Comprehensive models were useful at some sites with lagged variables (< 2 weeks) for cyanobacterial toxin genes, dissolved nutrients, and (or) N to P ratios. Comprehensive models are presented in three categories: (1) three models with continuous monitor data and lagged comprehensive variables, (2) five models with no continuous monitor data and lagged comprehensive variables, and (3) one model with continuous monitor data and same-day comprehensive variables. Funding for this work was provided by the Ohio Water Development Authority and the U.S. Geological Survey Cooperative Water Program.

Access & Use Information

Public: This dataset is intended for public access and use. License: No license information was provided. If this work was prepared by an officer or employee of the United States government as part of that person's official duties it is considered a U.S. Government Work.

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Dates

Metadata Created Date January 11, 2026
Metadata Updated Date January 20, 2026

Metadata Source

Harvested from DOI USGS DCAT-US

Additional Metadata

Resource Type Dataset
Metadata Created Date January 11, 2026
Metadata Updated Date January 20, 2026
Publisher U.S. Geological Survey
Maintainer
Identifier http://datainventory.doi.gov/id/dataset/USGS_5d821dc7e4b0c4f70d058daa
Data Last Modified 2020-08-27T00:00:00Z
Category geospatial
Public Access Level public
Bureau Code 010:12
Metadata Context https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema/catalog.jsonld
Metadata Catalog ID https://ddi.doi.gov/usgs-data.json
Schema Version https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema
Catalog Describedby https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema/catalog.json
Datagov Dedupe Retained 20260120143730
Harvest Object Id 12a1d610-4e99-46ae-8e9a-f7f813099654
Harvest Source Id 2b80d118-ab3a-48ba-bd93-996bbacefac2
Harvest Source Title DOI USGS DCAT-US
Metadata Type geospatial
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Source Datajson Identifier True
Source Hash 4f7ee5038637b115e52cac4a38c31aa4d20e84efa2f1bd4186e5a9a9b0d9e5f4
Source Schema Version 1.1
Spatial {"type": "Polygon", "coordinates": -84.8145, 40.1453, -84.8145, 41.7057, -80.5200, 41.7057, -80.5200, 40.1453, -84.8145, 40.1453}

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