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Alaska Climate Futures (mid and late 21st century) and Historical References (20th century)

Metadata Updated: November 27, 2025

To meet the climate change planning and adaptation needs of Alaska managers and decision makers, I developed a set of statewide summaries of available climate change projections that can be further subset using GIS techniques for requests by management unit, watershed, or other location. This facilitates the development of tailored climate futures for decision makers’ regional or subregional management context. This file describes the source data and summaries for purposes of technical /scientific documentation. The methods and presentation for these datasets were adapted from products in previous USGS-approved IP products for the AKCASC Building Resilience Today project (e.g, Community of Kotlik et al. 2019). For each data product included, summaries (averages or totals) are presented for multiple climate models or specific global warming levels and are average dover two time periods: 2040-2069, or the “2050s”, for near-term decision framing; and 2070-2099, or the “2080s”, for longer-term decision framing. In all cases where possible, both moderate emissions (RCP4.5 or +2C global level) and higher emissions (RCP8.5, or +4C global level) are presented. These choices (model averaging, temporal averaging, and scenario presentation) are tailored to the main sources of uncertainty (Hawkins and Sutton 2009) in climate model projections, specifically differences in climate model construction, climatic variability, and emissions scenario uncertainty (e.g., Littell et al. 2011, Snover et al. 2013, Terando et al. 2020). Not all scenario planning or climate impacts modeling needs can be met with these projections – these are intended to characterize a range of futures indicated by the available data products and facilitate further exploration of climate impacts modeling and adaptation development options.

Access & Use Information

Public: This dataset is intended for public access and use. License: No license information was provided. If this work was prepared by an officer or employee of the United States government as part of that person's official duties it is considered a U.S. Government Work.

Downloads & Resources

Dates

Metadata Created Date September 14, 2025
Metadata Updated Date November 27, 2025

Metadata Source

Harvested from DOI USGS DCAT-US

Additional Metadata

Resource Type Dataset
Metadata Created Date September 14, 2025
Metadata Updated Date November 27, 2025
Publisher U.S. Geological Survey
Maintainer
Identifier http://datainventory.doi.gov/id/dataset/usgs-64529edcd34eefd5da82b30f
Data Last Modified 2024-04-16T00:00:00Z
Category geospatial
Public Access Level public
Bureau Code 010:12
Metadata Context https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema/catalog.jsonld
Metadata Catalog ID https://ddi.doi.gov/usgs-data.json
Schema Version https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema
Catalog Describedby https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema/catalog.json
Harvest Object Id a14db98f-315d-4e68-ab11-4423566dafdd
Harvest Source Id 2b80d118-ab3a-48ba-bd93-996bbacefac2
Harvest Source Title DOI USGS DCAT-US
Metadata Type geospatial
Source Datajson Identifier True
Source Hash 8c3c1763bc0c406d6ce9a674640ba3dd04f6f8ebe2e79a745c8b294d76eb118d
Source Schema Version 1.1

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