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A Discussion on Uncertainty Representation and Interpretation in Model-based Prognostics Algorithms based on Kalman Filter Estimation Applied to Prognostics of Electronics Components

Metadata Updated: April 11, 2025

This article presented a discussion on uncertainty representation and management for model-based prog- nostics methodologies based on the Bayesian tracking framework and specifically for a Kalman filter appli- cation to electronics components. In particular, it explores the implication of modeling remaining useful life prediction as a stochastic process and how it relates to remaining useful life computation by statistical models, to uncertainty representation and management, and to the role of prognostics in decision-making. A discussion on how uncertainty propagates from the health state estimation process through the health state forecasting process is provided. Remaining useful life computation steps under uncertainty are pre- sented and analytical results on uncertainty quantification are provided under a simplified scenario. A proper propagation of uncertainty through the RUL prediction step as well as its correct interpretation are key to developing decision-making methodologies that make use of the remaining useful life prediction estimates and their corresponding uncertainties in order to make actionable choices that will optimize reliability, operations or safety in view of the prognostics information.

Access & Use Information

Public: This dataset is intended for public access and use. License: No license information was provided. If this work was prepared by an officer or employee of the United States government as part of that person's official duties it is considered a U.S. Government Work.

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Dates

Metadata Created Date November 12, 2020
Metadata Updated Date April 11, 2025
Data Update Frequency irregular

Metadata Source

Harvested from NASA Data.json

Additional Metadata

Resource Type Dataset
Metadata Created Date November 12, 2020
Metadata Updated Date April 11, 2025
Publisher Dashlink
Maintainer
Identifier DASHLINK_698
Data First Published 2013-04-12
Data Last Modified 2025-03-31
Public Access Level public
Data Update Frequency irregular
Bureau Code 026:00
Metadata Context https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema/catalog.jsonld
Schema Version https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema
Catalog Describedby https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema/catalog.json
Harvest Object Id 213c87b2-02b3-4766-9ca5-aebc222ac0d6
Harvest Source Id 58f92550-7a01-4f00-b1b2-8dc953bd598f
Harvest Source Title NASA Data.json
Homepage URL https://c3.nasa.gov/dashlink/resources/698/
Program Code 026:029
Source Datajson Identifier True
Source Hash d3ec857eb890e4b4996ccda17a70b2ac30382d9b1619fdf2b7d88253ee146f8f
Source Schema Version 1.1

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