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Predictions and supporting data for network-wide 7-day ahead forecasts of water temperature in the Delaware River Basin

Metadata Updated: November 26, 2025

<p>Daily maximum water temperature predictions in the Delaware River Basin (DRB) can inform decision makers who can use cold-water reservoir releases to maintain thermal habitat for sensitive fish species. This data release contains the forcings and outputs of 7-day ahead maximum water temperature forecasting models that makes predictions at 70 river reaches in the upper DRB. The modeling approach includes process-guided deep learning and data assimilation (Zwart et al., 2023). The model is driven by weather forecasts and observed reservoir releases and produces maximum water temperature forecasts for the issue day (day 0) and 7 days into the future (days 1-7). In combination with data provided in Oliver et al. (2022), this release contains all data used to train and validate the water temperature forecast models. This includes a process-based model pre-trainer, forecasted gridded weather data, reservoir releases, and water temperature data. Additionally, this release contains predictions from five models: a long-short term memory network (LSTM), a recurrent graph convolution network (RGCN), LSTM with data assimilation, a RGCN with data assimilation, and a persistence model. The release contains a tidy version of the model predictions with paired observations for easier reuse. <br/>The data are organized into 4 child folders: 1) waterbody information, 2) model driver data, 3) model configurations, 4) model predictions, 5) model code. </p> <ol> <li><a href="https://www.sciencebase.gov/catalog/item/624f211ed34e21f82769a7a4">Waterbody Information</a> - One shapefile of polylines for 70 river segments in this study, and one shapefile of reservoir polygons for the Pepacton and Cannonsville reservoirs</li> <li><a href="https://www.sciencebase.gov/catalog/item/624f21b9d34e21f82769a7ab">Model Driver Data </a> - Data used to drive predictive models (daily meteorology for river reaches and reservoirs, observed reservoir diversions and releases)</li> <li><a href="https://www.sciencebase.gov/catalog/item/624f21ddd34e21f82769a7af">Model Configurations </a> - Model parameters and metadata used to configure GLM 3.1 reservoir models </li> <li><a href="https://www.sciencebase.gov/catalog/item/624f21fad34e21f82769a7b1">Model Predictions </a> - Temperature predictions data files, including GLM 3.1 predictions of outflow and water temperature for reservoir outflow reaches, stream temperature predictions from the distance-weighted-average lotic-lentic input network, and 7-day ahead deep learning water temperature forecasts at 5 priority sites </li> <li><a href="https://www.sciencebase.gov/catalog/item/6487548dd34ef77fcafe1753">Model Code </a> - Model code repository used to prepare data for training, validation, testing, and evaluation of model output </li> <br/> <p>This research was funded by the USGS.</p>

Access & Use Information

Public: This dataset is intended for public access and use. License: No license information was provided. If this work was prepared by an officer or employee of the United States government as part of that person's official duties it is considered a U.S. Government Work.

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Dates

Metadata Created Date September 13, 2025
Metadata Updated Date November 26, 2025

Metadata Source

Harvested from DOI USGS DCAT-US

Additional Metadata

Resource Type Dataset
Metadata Created Date September 13, 2025
Metadata Updated Date November 26, 2025
Publisher U.S. Geological Survey
Maintainer
Identifier http://datainventory.doi.gov/id/dataset/usgs-6238fcead34e915b67cc4856
Data Last Modified 2023-06-21T00:00:00Z
Category geospatial
Public Access Level public
Bureau Code 010:12
Metadata Context https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema/catalog.jsonld
Metadata Catalog ID https://ddi.doi.gov/usgs-data.json
Schema Version https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema
Catalog Describedby https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema/catalog.json
Harvest Object Id f6909558-7caa-4286-8bf9-b25036f3e3f2
Harvest Source Id 2b80d118-ab3a-48ba-bd93-996bbacefac2
Harvest Source Title DOI USGS DCAT-US
Metadata Type geospatial
Source Datajson Identifier True
Source Hash 2fdc416e4b79f30a93945c02a15f2d1771d092a9822b5ed492bd6e787f9ead44
Source Schema Version 1.1

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