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    • NCCOS Ecological Effects of Sea Level Rise in the Northern Gulf of Mexico (EESLR-NGOM): Simulated Return Period Stillwater Elevation (NCEI Accession 0170340)

    Metadata Updated: November 1, 2025

    This dataset comprises stillwater storm surge projections for 2100 for the northern Gulf of Mexico (Mississippi, Alabama, and the Florida panhandle) using a high-resolution coupled SWAN+ADCIRC model (Bilskie et al., 2016a). These results are from a predictive model in a scenario-based modeling framework that makes projections under sea level difference scenarios.

    There are two categories of stillwater storm surge model outputs for the 1% and 0.2% annual chance occurrence probability -- meaning 1% or 0.2% chance of being met or exceeded in any given year -- resulting from the Ecological Effect of Sea Level Rise Northern Gulf of Mexico (EESLR-NGOM) project: 1) Water surface elevation of stillwater storm surge [ 1 GB total file size, 150 files] and 2) Inundation depth above ground of stillwater storm surge [ 1 GB total file size, 150 files]. The boundaries for the three study regions are also included. For a complete description of the methods used to generate these results, please see the Bilskie et al. (2017) publication, referenced in the ‘Cited Publications’ section below. Each stillwater storm surge model output, described below, is provided for the following 5 sea level rise scenarios (Parris et al. 2012): Initial Condition (no change from c. 2000 mean sea level (MSL)), Low (+0.2m from MSL), Intermediate-Low (+0.5m from MSL), Intermediate-High (+1.2m from MSL), and High (+2.0m from MSL).

    Access & Use Information

    License: No license information was provided. If this work was prepared by an officer or employee of the United States government as part of that person's official duties it is considered a U.S. Government Work.

    Downloads & Resources

    Dates

    Metadata Date 2025-10-01T12:49:49Z
    Metadata Created Date July 2, 2021
    Metadata Updated Date November 1, 2025
    Reference Date(s) February 6, 2018 (publication), July 21, 2020 (revision)
    Frequency Of Update asNeeded

    Metadata Source

    Harvested from NOAA/NESDIS/ncei/accessions

    Other Data Resources

    Graphic Preview

    Preview graphic

    Additional Metadata

    Resource Type Model
    Metadata Date 2025-10-01T12:49:49Z
    Metadata Created Date July 2, 2021
    Metadata Updated Date November 1, 2025
    Reference Date(s) February 6, 2018 (publication), July 21, 2020 (revision)
    Responsible Party (Point of Contact)
    Contact Email
    Guid gov.noaa.nodc:0170340
    Access Constraints Cite as: Bilskie, Matthew V.; Hagen, Scott C.; Medeiros, Stephen; Kidwell, David; Buckel, Christine; Passeri, Davina (2018). NCCOS Ecological Effects of Sea Level Rise in the Northern Gulf of Mexico (EESLR-NGOM): Simulated Return Period Stillwater Elevation (NCEI Accession 0170340). [indicate subset used]. NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information. Dataset. https://doi.org/10.7289/v54b2zkr. Accessed [date]., Use liability: NOAA and NCEI cannot provide any warranty as to the accuracy, reliability, or completeness of furnished data. Users assume responsibility to determine the usability of these data. The user is responsible for the results of any application of this data for other than its intended purpose.
    Bbox East Long -83.63392
    Bbox North Lat 31.162718
    Bbox South Lat 29.57364
    Bbox West Long -89.823278
    Coupled Resource
    Frequency Of Update asNeeded
    Graphic Preview Description Preview graphic
    Graphic Preview File https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/metadata/landing-page/bin/gfx?id=gov.noaa.nodc:0170340
    Graphic Preview Type PNG
    Harvest Object Id eb3093c1-82bf-41d7-88b0-3f40338d6032
    Harvest Source Id c084a438-6f6b-470d-93e0-16aeddb9f513
    Harvest Source Title NOAA/NESDIS/ncei/accessions
    Licence accessLevel: Public, Note: these data were developed to assess the effects of future coastal change on stillwater storm surge given varying scenarios of sea level rise and should not be used to supplant existing floodplain map products
    Lineage
    Metadata Language eng
    Metadata Type geospatial
    Old Spatial {"type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [[[-89.823278, 29.57364], [-83.63392, 29.57364], [-83.63392, 31.162718], [-89.823278, 31.162718], [-89.823278, 29.57364]]]}
    Progress completed
    Spatial Data Service Type
    Spatial Reference System
    Spatial Harvester True
    Temporal Extent Begin 2010-09-01
    Temporal Extent End 2017-08-31

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