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Little Twist 2024-06-13 (tws2024) postfire debris-flow hazard assessment

Published by U.S. Geological Survey | Department of the Interior | Catalog Last Checked: May 05, 2026 at 07:46 PM | Dataset Last Updated: November 19, 2025 at 12:00 AM
Wildfire can substantially alter the hydrologic response of watersheds to rainfall, and debris-flow activity is the among the most destructive consequences of these events. To assist federal, state, and local agencies in planning for postfire hazards, the U.S. Geological Survey conducts debris-flow hazard assessments for recent wildfires.This item holds the postfire debris-flow hazard assessment for the Little Twist fire event that began on or near 2024-06-13. Contents: Shapefiles.zip Zip archive of hazard modeling results. Includes shapefiles for the fire perimeter, stream segments, catchment basins, and outlet points. tws2024-field-descriptions.txt Descriptions of the shapefile data fields. tws2024-median-thresholds.csv Table of median rainfall thresholds as calculated over the stream segments and catchment basins. tws2024-metadata.txt Auxiliary metadata about the fire event and implementation of the hazard assessment. Methods: The hazard assessment was designed to implement: * The "M1" debris-flow likelihood model of Staley and others (2017) * The "emergency" potential sediment volume model of Gartner and others (2014) * The debris-flow combined hazard classification scheme of Cannon and others (2010) The assessment was produced by USGS personnel running the beta version of the ocelote package. Operational personnel may have also modified stream network delineation and modeling parameters in order to ensure quality. The beta version is represented by the ocelote commits prior to the v1.0.0 release. The ocelote source repository can be found here: https://code.usgs.gov/ghsc/lhp/ocelote References: Cannon, S. H., Gartner, J. E., Rupert, M. G., Michael, J. A., Rea, A. H., and Parrett, C. (2010). Predicting the probability and volume of postwildfire debris flows in the intermountain western United States. Bulletin, 122(1-2), 127-144. Gartner, J. E., Cannon, S. H., and Santi, P. M. (2014). Empirical models for predicting volumes of sediment deposited by debris flows and sediment-laden floods in the transverse ranges of southern California. Engineering Geology, 176, 45-56. Staley, D. M., Negri, J. A., Kean, J. W., Laber, J. L., Tillery, A. C., and Youberg, A. M. (2017). Prediction of spatially explicit rainfall intensity–duration thresholds for post-fire debris-flow generation in the western United States. Geomorphology, 278, 149-162.

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