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Landslide Displacement in the San Francisco Bay Region. The HayWired Earthquake Scenario

Published by U.S. Geological Survey | Department of the Interior | Catalog Last Checked: August 01, 2026 at 06:20 AM | Dataset Last Updated: August 18, 2020 at 12:00 AM
This map shows the potential of widespread slope failures, in terms of Newmark displacement (measured in centimeters), triggered by a M7.0 scenario earthquake on the Hayward Fault in the 10-county area surrounding the San Francisco Bay region, California. The cumulative downslope displacement of hillslopes is calculated using a simplified Newmark rigid sliding block slope stability model utilizing four primary datasets: a regional-scale geologic map of the study area, geologic strength parameters compiled as part of the California Geological Survey Seismic Hazard Mapping Program, earthquake shaking data from the USGS ShakeMap developed for this scenario, and 10-meter digital elevation data from the USGS 2009 National Elevation Dataset.The seismic-landslide hazard potential map covers the counties of Alameda, Contra Costa, Marin, Napa, San Francisco, San Mateo, Santa Clara, Santa Cruz, Solano, and Sonoma. The slope failures are triggered by a hypothetical earthquake with a moment magnitude of 7.0 occurring on April 18, 2018, at 4:18 p.m. on the Hayward Fault in the east bay part of California’s San Francisco Bay region.

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