Future Tillage Suitability 2050

Metadata Updated: January 29, 2020

The tillage suitability product is a per-crop, per-pixel (30 square-meters) model representation of the predicted probability (0.00-1.00) that an area can support commodity crop development for a suite of crop types commonly grown in the LCD landscape. The values for each grid cell are interpreted as a probability, with any value greater-than 0.50 suggesting an area should be suitable for crop development based on observations of 2.5 million farmed areas around the LCD geography. To demonstrate composite suitability (“tillage”) for all crops, we added the individual probabilities for our modeled from cover classes (cereals, corn, cotton, and beans), which represents the overall proportion of votes for “crop” vs. “not-crop/other” for trees in our full Random Forest model. To predict commodity crop development suitability in 2050, we used the commodity crop suitability model (described above), fit to current soil, climate, aquifer groundwater, and topographic conditions for 2016, and replaced the model input data with a raster of projected aquifer saturated thickness for 2050 and re-ran our model prediction (described above). Note that we held climate variables constant for this analysis (under 2016 conditions), in order to demonstrate how groundwater availability, which our model suggested was the predominant driver of crop suitability for the LCD region, may influence suitability.

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License: No license information was provided. If this work was prepared by an officer or employee of the United States government as part of that person's official duties it is considered a U.S. Government Work.

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Dates

Metadata Date March 22, 2019
Metadata Created Date January 29, 2020
Metadata Updated Date January 29, 2020
Reference Date(s) 2018-01-26T18:36:54+00:00 (creation), 2018-01-26T20:21:08+00:00 (lastUpdate), January 26, 2018 (publication), January 26, 2018 (Info)
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Harvested from DOI Open Data

Additional Metadata

Resource Type Dataset
Metadata Date March 22, 2019
Metadata Created Date January 29, 2020
Metadata Updated Date January 29, 2020
Reference Date(s) 2018-01-26T18:36:54+00:00 (creation), 2018-01-26T20:21:08+00:00 (lastUpdate), January 26, 2018 (publication), January 26, 2018 (Info)
Responsible Party (Point of Contact, Principal Investigator); Great Plains Landscape Conservation Cooperative (Point of Contact)
Contact Email
Access Constraints
Bbox East Long -99.995665
Bbox North Lat 38.019713
Bbox South Lat 31.246407
Bbox West Long -104.277039
Coupled Resource
Frequency Of Update
Guid 5a6b7546e4b06e28e9ca3719
Harvest Object Id a1eb6767-d5e6-4cb6-9cde-1e4dc98c7a39
Harvest Source Id 5b7e4031-1e2d-428b-92e2-56554bbd7371
Harvest Source Title DOI Open Data
Licence
Metadata Language
Metadata Type geospatial
Progress completed
Spatial Data Service Type
Spatial Reference System
Spatial Harvester true

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