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Early Model-based Provisional Estimates of Drug Overdose, Suicide, and Transportation-related Deaths

Metadata Updated: April 21, 2022

This dataset provides model-based provisional estimates of the weekly numbers of drug overdose, suicide, and transportation-related deaths using “nowcasting” methods to account for the normal lag between the occurrence and reporting of these deaths. Estimates less than 10 are suppressed. These early model-based provisional estimates were generated using a multi-stage hierarchical Bayesian modeling process to generate smoothed estimates of the weekly numbers of death, accounting for reporting lags. These estimates are based on several assumptions about how the reporting lags have changed in recent months across different jurisdictions, and the resulting estimates differ from other sources of provisional mortality data. For now, these estimates should be considered highly uncertain until further evaluations can be done to determine the validity of these assumptions about timeliness. The true patterns in reporting lags will not be known until data are finalized, typically 11–12 months after the end of the calendar year. Importantly, these estimates are not a replacement for monthly provisional drug overdose death counts, or quarterly provisional mortality estimates. For more detail about the nowcasting methods and models, see:

Rossen LM, Hedegaard H, Warner M, Ahmad FB, Sutton PD. Early provisional estimates of drug overdose, suicide, and transportation-related deaths: Nowcasting methods to account for reporting lags. Vital Statistics Rapid Release; no 11. Hyattsville, MD: National Center for Health Statistics. February 2021. DOI: https://doi.org/10.15620/ cdc:101132

Access & Use Information

Public: This dataset is intended for public access and use. License: See this page for license information.

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Dates

Metadata Created Date April 30, 2021
Metadata Updated Date April 21, 2022

Metadata Source

Harvested from Healthdata.gov

Additional Metadata

Resource Type Dataset
Metadata Created Date April 30, 2021
Metadata Updated Date April 21, 2022
Publisher Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Maintainer
Identifier https://data.cdc.gov/api/views/v2g4-wqg2
Data First Published 2021-02-26
Data Last Modified 2022-03-30
Category NCHS
Public Access Level public
Bureau Code 009:20
Metadata Context https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema/catalog.jsonld
Metadata Catalog ID https://healthdata.gov/data.json
Schema Version https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema
Catalog Describedby https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema/catalog.json
Harvest Object Id 7a171355-f184-48f1-859e-7722dfb653a7
Harvest Source Id 651e43b2-321c-4e4c-b86a-835cfc342cb0
Harvest Source Title Healthdata.gov
Homepage URL https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/index.htm
License https://www.usa.gov/government-works
Program Code 009:020
Source Datajson Identifier True
Source Hash deb8f2fd9756f3f7a94fb04932218162b6d0fd60
Source Schema Version 1.1

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