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Comparison of Two Probabilistic Fatigue Damage Assessment Approaches Using Prognostic Performance Metrics

Metadata Updated: December 6, 2023

A general framework for probabilistic prognosis using maximum entropy approach, MRE, is proposed in this paper to include all available information and uncertainties for RUL prediction. Prognosis metrics are used for model comparison and performance evaluation. Several conclusions can be drawn based on the results in the current investigation: The proposed MRE updating approach results in more accurate and precise prediction compared with the classical Bayesian method. The classical Bayesian method is a special case of the proposed MRE approach and MRE approach is more flexible to include additional information for inference, which cannot be handled by the classical Bayesian method. The prognosis metrics can be successfully used for algorithm comparison and can give quantitative values in model (algorithm) performance evaluation. A robustness metric measuring the updating algorithmic sensitivity to prior uncertainty is proposed and applied to both Bayesian and MRE updating approaches. The application examples show that MRE exhibits more robustness against the uncertainty introduced by parameter distribution priors in the sense of prognosis performance. It is important to realize when to apply these metrics to arrive at meaningful interpretations. For instance, use of the convergence metric makes sense only when the algorithm predictions converge (get better) with time.

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Public: This dataset is intended for public access and use. License: No license information was provided. If this work was prepared by an officer or employee of the United States government as part of that person's official duties it is considered a U.S. Government Work.

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Dates

Metadata Created Date November 12, 2020
Metadata Updated Date December 6, 2023
Data Update Frequency irregular

Metadata Source

Harvested from NASA Data.json

Additional Metadata

Resource Type Dataset
Metadata Created Date November 12, 2020
Metadata Updated Date December 6, 2023
Publisher Dashlink
Maintainer
Identifier DASHLINK_686
Data First Published 2013-04-10
Data Last Modified 2020-01-29
Public Access Level public
Data Update Frequency irregular
Bureau Code 026:00
Metadata Context https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema/catalog.jsonld
Metadata Catalog ID https://data.nasa.gov/data.json
Schema Version https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema
Catalog Describedby https://project-open-data.cio.gov/v1.1/schema/catalog.json
Harvest Object Id ffa88403-223d-4af1-9918-da322d195437
Harvest Source Id 58f92550-7a01-4f00-b1b2-8dc953bd598f
Harvest Source Title NASA Data.json
Homepage URL https://c3.nasa.gov/dashlink/resources/686/
Program Code 026:029
Source Datajson Identifier True
Source Hash 8ace2c4f2ba65c3f8d4523a22153417caed3d7800e776627d5609c329fdca270
Source Schema Version 1.1

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